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Buy Sandisk Stock NOW? The HBF Moonshot and 3 Problems.

Kevin Paffrath of Reinvest reviews SanDisk's financial performance and future prospects, highlighting both its impressive growth and underlying risks.

Buy Sandisk Stock NOW? The HBF Moonshot and 3 Problems. Watch on YouTube ↗

The digest

SanDisk (SNDK) has seen an astonishing surge in its stock price, with a hypothetical $100 investment a year ago now worth nearly $4,000. This remarkable 3,825% increase has outperformed Micron Technology (MU) and the Nasdaq 100 by a significant margin, leading many to question the drivers behind this explosive growth and the potential risks involved.

The Allure of SanDisk's Financials

At first glance, SanDisk's financial statements paint a picture of extraordinary success. The balance sheet appears robust, with $9.4 billion in cash and receivables against $6.5 billion in long and current debt, suggesting strong liquidity. The income statement is even more impressive, showing a 4.7x increase in revenue while costs literally decreased by 1.4%. This translates to a massive pricing power (PP), with two-thirds of their Q4 revenue growth attributed solely to price increases, and only one-third to increased volume (bit shipment). The company proudly touts its pricing power, with products largely sold out through fiscal 2028. Furthermore, SanDisk's earnings per share are projected to be $211.34, resulting in a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.9, making it appear incredibly cheap.

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